SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 2-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Newcastle United |
31.86% ( -1.14) | 23.63% ( 0.12) | 44.5% ( 1.02) |
| Both teams to score 61.42% ( -0.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.65% ( -1.04) | 40.35% ( 1.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.27% ( -1.08) | 62.72% ( 1.08) |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.3% ( -1.16) | 24.69% ( 1.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.76% ( -1.65) | 59.23% ( 1.66) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.56% | 18.44% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.39% | 49.61% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 2-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.69% Total : 31.86% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.13)0-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.22)3-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.62% | 1-2 @ 9.1% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.36)0-2 @ 6.51% ( 0.31)1-3 @ 5.13% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 2.17% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.58% Total : 44.5% |
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