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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 42.05%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.79%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Manchester United |
42.05% ( -0.06) | 24.07% ( -0.01) | 33.88% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 60.61% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.26% ( 0.08) | 41.74% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.86% ( 0.08) | 64.15% ( -0.07) |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.94% ( 0.01) | 20.07% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.71% ( 0.01) | 52.29% ( -0) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.82% ( 0.08) | 24.18% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.49% ( 0.11) | 58.51% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Manchester United |
| 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.76% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.38% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.02% Total : 42.05% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.07% | 1-2 @ 7.85% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.89% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.72% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.86% Total : 33.88% |
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