Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 41.62%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nottingham Forest in this match.