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Premier League | Gameweek 16
Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
City Ground
CP

Nott'm Forest
1 - 0
Crystal Palace

Gibbs-White (54')
Yates (61')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Mitchell (30'), Ward (64'), Guehi (73'), Schlupp (88')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 41.62%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nottingham Forest in this match.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawCrystal Palace
41.62% (0.218 0.22) 26.77% (-0.061 -0.06) 31.6% (-0.157 -0.16)
Both teams to score 50.75% (0.127 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.81% (0.191 0.19)54.19% (-0.19 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.4% (0.159 0.16)75.59% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.32% (0.20099999999999 0.2)25.68% (-0.2 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.4% (0.274 0.27)60.6% (-0.271 -0.27)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.28% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)31.72% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.86% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)68.14% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 41.62%
    Crystal Palace 31.6%
    Draw 26.77%
Nottingham ForestDrawCrystal Palace
1-0 @ 11.07% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.64% (0.032 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.53% (0.031 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.92% (0.037 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.41% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.25% (0.02 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.33% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.16% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 41.62%
1-1 @ 12.71% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.15% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.96% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.77%
0-1 @ 9.35% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-2 @ 7.3% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.37% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.8% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.06% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 31.6%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-0 Spurs
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-2 Brentford
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 5-0 Nott'm Forest
Sunday, October 30 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-0 Liverpool
Saturday, October 22 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 0-0 Nott'm Forest
Tuesday, October 18 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 1-0 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 0-0 Crystal Palace (3-2 pen.)
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: West Ham 1-2 Crystal Palace
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 1-0 Southampton
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 3-0 Crystal Palace
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 2-1 Wolves
Tuesday, October 18 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leicester 0-0 Crystal Palace
Saturday, October 15 at 12.30pm in Premier League


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