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Premier League | Gameweek 21
Jan 14, 2025 at 8pm UK
The City Ground
LL

Nott'm Forest
1 - 1
Liverpool

Wood (8')
Gibbs-White (42'), Yates (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Jota (66')
Diaz (70')

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 58.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 19.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.23%) and 0-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 2-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawLiverpool
19.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 21.29% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 58.91% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.05% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.51% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)40.48% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.13% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)62.86% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.9% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)34.09% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.22% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)70.78% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.55% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)13.44% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.58% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)40.41% (0.062000000000005 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 19.79%
    Liverpool 58.91%
    Draw 21.29%
Nottingham ForestDrawLiverpool
2-1 @ 5.32% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-0 @ 4.93% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.65% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 1.92% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 1.91% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 19.79%
1-1 @ 9.9% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.58% (0.018 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.29%
1-2 @ 9.93% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 9.23% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 9.2% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 6.64% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 6.17% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-3 @ 3.57% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 3.33% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-4 @ 3.1% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.79% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.34% (-0.004 -0)
0-5 @ 1.24% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 58.91%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-0 Luton
Saturday, January 11 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Wolves 0-3 Nott'm Forest
Monday, January 6 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 0-2 Nott'm Forest
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-0 Spurs
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 0-2 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-1 Aston Villa
Saturday, December 14 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 4-0 Accrington
Saturday, January 11 at 12.15pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Spurs 1-0 Liverpool
Wednesday, January 8 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Liverpool 2-2 Man Utd
Sunday, January 5 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 0-5 Liverpool
Sunday, December 29 at 5.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 3-1 Leicester
Thursday, December 26 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 3-6 Liverpool
Sunday, December 22 at 4.30pm in Premier League


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