SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 83.15%. A draw had a probability of 11.2% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 5.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.34%) and 4-0 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.26%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 1-2 (1.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
83.15% ( -0.68) | 11.19% ( 0.42) | 5.65% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 46.8% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.56% ( -1.03) | 29.43% ( 1.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.49% ( -1.26) | 50.5% ( 1.26) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.85% ( -0.31) | 5.14% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 79.6% ( -0.91) | 20.4% ( 0.91) |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.34% ( 0.03) | 50.66% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.89% ( 0.02) | 85.11% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 2-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.22) 3-0 @ 11.34% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.18)2-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.16)1-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.3)3-1 @ 7.72% ( 0)4-1 @ 5.73% ( -0.12)5-0 @ 5% ( -0.21)5-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0)6-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.16)4-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.04)6-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.11)5-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.05)7-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.62% Total : 83.13% | 1-1 @ 5.26% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.15)Other @ 0.68% Total : 11.19% | 1-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.1% Total : 5.66% |
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