SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 76.48%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 8.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.86%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 1-2 (2.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
76.48% ( -0.17) | 14.64% ( 0.12) | 8.88% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 50.37% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.96% ( -0.36) | 34.04% ( 0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.09% ( -0.41) | 55.9% ( 0.41) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.66% ( -0.11) | 7.34% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.5% ( -0.31) | 26.5% ( 0.31) |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.36% ( -0.12) | 45.64% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.56% ( -0.09) | 81.44% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
| 2-0 @ 11.42% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 9.95% ( 0)2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 2% ( -0.02)6-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.03)6-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.21% Total : 76.48% | 1-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.52% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.91% Total : 14.64% | 1-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 1.61% Total : 8.88% |
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