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Premier League | Gameweek 10
Oct 29, 2023 at 2pm UK
Anfield
NF

Liverpool
3 - 0
Nott'm Forest

Jota (31'), Nunez (35'), Salah (77')
Alexander-Arnold (19'), Mac Allister (58')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Cooper (20'), Mangala (33'), Dominguez (52'), Sangare (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Liverpool 5-1 Toulouse
Thursday, October 26 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-2 Luton
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 84.33%. A draw had a probability of 10.5% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 5.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.33%) and 4-0 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.94%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 1-2 (1.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Liverpool in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Liverpool.

Result
LiverpoolDrawNottingham Forest
84.33% (0.12 0.12) 10.52% (0.016 0.02) 5.15% (-0.134 -0.13)
Both teams to score 46.23% (-1.207 -1.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.68% (-0.871 -0.87)28.31% (0.871 0.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.87% (-1.083 -1.08)49.13% (1.084 1.08)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.26% (-0.13499999999999 -0.13)4.74% (0.136 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.81% (-0.413 -0.41)19.19% (0.414 0.41)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.53% (-1.196 -1.2)51.47% (1.196 1.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.34% (-0.81 -0.81)85.66% (0.81100000000001 0.81)
Score Analysis
    Liverpool 84.31%
    Nottingham Forest 5.15%
    Draw 10.52%
LiverpoolDrawNottingham Forest
3-0 @ 11.52% (0.27 0.27)
2-0 @ 11.33% (0.37 0.37)
4-0 @ 8.79% (0.128 0.13)
3-1 @ 7.66% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
2-1 @ 7.53% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.44% (0.313 0.31)
4-1 @ 5.84% (-0.118 -0.12)
5-0 @ 5.36% (0.029 0.03)
5-1 @ 3.56% (-0.106 -0.11)
6-0 @ 2.72% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.118 -0.12)
4-2 @ 1.94% (-0.11 -0.11)
6-1 @ 1.81% (-0.072 -0.07)
7-0 @ 1.19% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.18% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 84.31%
1-1 @ 4.94% (0.04 0.04)
2-2 @ 2.5% (-0.092 -0.09)
0-0 @ 2.44% (0.125 0.13)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 10.52%
1-2 @ 1.64% (-0.045 -0.05)
0-1 @ 1.62% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 5.15%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Liverpool 5-1 Toulouse
Thursday, October 26 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Liverpool 2-0 Everton
Saturday, October 21 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 2-2 Liverpool
Sunday, October 8 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 2-0 Union SG
Thursday, October 5 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Spurs 2-1 Liverpool
Saturday, September 30 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 3-1 Leicester
Wednesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-2 Luton
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-0 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, October 7 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-1 Brentford
Sunday, October 1 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man City 2-0 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-1 Burnley
Monday, September 18 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 0-1 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Premier League


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