SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 30.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Nottingham Forest in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Nottingham Forest.
| Result | ||
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Luton Town |
44.1% ( -0.06) | 25.51% ( -0.01) | 30.39% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 54.2% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.51% ( 0.05) | 49.48% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.48% ( 0.05) | 71.52% ( -0.05) |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.61% ( -0) | 22.39% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.11% ( -0.01) | 55.89% ( 0) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.83% ( 0.07) | 30.17% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.68% ( 0.08) | 66.32% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Luton Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.1% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.57% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.52% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.23% Total : 44.09% | 1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 8.09% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.26% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.18% Total : 30.39% |
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