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MLS Playoffs | MLS Cup Round One
Nov 9, 2024 at 11pm UK
Orlando City Stadium
CF

Orlando City
1 - 1
Charlotte FC

Orlando City win 4-1 on penalties
Torres (90+12')
Enrique (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Swiderski (81')
Agyemang (40'), Malanda (46'), Byrne (53'), Biel (83'), Bronico (84'), Urso (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Orlando City 0-0 Charlotte FC (Charlotte FC advance on penalties)

This match could go either way, with difference makers in goal on both sides; however, Kahlina may have a psychological edge after his shootout performance in game two. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 61.73%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 17.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 1-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Charlotte FC win it was 1-2 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Orlando CityDrawCharlotte FC
61.73% (0.00099999999999767 0) 20.53% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 17.75% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.88% (-0.133 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.78% (-0.15499999999999 -0.15)40.22% (0.16 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.41% (-0.159 -0.16)62.59% (0.165 0.16)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.47% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)12.54% (0.051 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.43% (-0.102 -0.1)38.57% (0.107 0.11)
Charlotte FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.89% (-0.115 -0.12)36.11% (0.12 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.11% (-0.12 -0.12)72.89% (0.124 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 61.73%
    Charlotte FC 17.75%
    Draw 20.53%
Orlando CityDrawCharlotte FC
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 9.76% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 9.4% (0.051 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.88% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.76% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.57% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.51% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.51% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.82% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.48% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.46% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 61.73%
1-1 @ 9.58% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.53% (0.034 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.53%
1-2 @ 4.88% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-1 @ 4.61% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.35% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.66% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 17.75%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Charlotte FC 0-0 Orlando City (3-1 pen.)
Friday, November 1 at 11.30pm in MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Orlando City 2-0 Charlotte FC
Sunday, October 27 at 11.30pm in MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Orlando City 1-2 Atlanta
Saturday, October 19 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-3 Orlando City
Sunday, October 6 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 2-1 Philadelphia
Thursday, October 3 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Dallas 1-3 Orlando City
Sunday, September 29 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 0-0 Orlando City (3-1 pen.)
Friday, November 1 at 11.30pm in MLS Playoffs
Last Game: Orlando City 2-0 Charlotte FC
Sunday, October 27 at 11.30pm in MLS Playoffs
Last Game: DC United 0-3 Charlotte FC
Saturday, October 19 at 11pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 2-0 Montreal
Sunday, October 6 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 4-3 Chicago Fire
Thursday, October 3 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 1-1 Charlotte FC
Sunday, September 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer


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