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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 52.9%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 25.37% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.25%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Orlando City |
52.9% ( 0.1) | 21.73% ( -0.13) | 25.37% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 63.32% ( 0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.28% ( 0.64) | 35.72% ( -0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.21% ( 0.71) | 57.79% ( -0.71) |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.31% ( 0.25) | 13.69% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.08% ( 0.51) | 40.92% ( -0.51) |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.37% ( 0.36) | 26.63% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.13% ( 0.48) | 61.87% ( -0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | Orlando City |
| 2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.38% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.92% Total : 52.9% | 1-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.34% Total : 21.73% | 1-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.83% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.41% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.17% Total : 25.37% |
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