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CF
Major League Soccer
Oct 3, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Bank of America Stadium
CF

Charlotte FC
4 - 3
Chicago Fire

Swiderski (8', 45+1'), Urso (30'), Abada (58')
Abada (16'), Smith (17'), Swiderski (69'), Kahlina (90+4')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Herbers (25'), Acosta (67'), Barlow (90+3')
Navarro (64')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Miami 1-1 Charlotte FC
Sunday, September 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-1 Toronto
Sunday, September 29 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Charlotte FC 2-1 Chicago Fire

Charlotte have dominated recent match-ups against the Fire, notching four consecutive victories entering Wednesday's fixture, and they should seal another success against an opponent that has nothing riding on the outcome in Illinois. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 27.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlotte FC would win this match.

Result
Charlotte FCDrawChicago Fire
47.77% (0.297 0.3) 24.79% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05) 27.44% (-0.242 -0.24)
Both teams to score 54.62% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.94% (0.074999999999996 0.07)48.06% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.78% (0.069000000000003 0.07)70.22% (-0.067000000000007 -0.07)
Charlotte FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.83% (0.157 0.16)20.17% (-0.155 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.55% (0.249 0.25)52.45% (-0.248 -0.25)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.42% (-0.14200000000001 -0.14)31.58% (0.144 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.02% (-0.165 -0.16)67.98% (0.167 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Charlotte FC 47.76%
    Chicago Fire 27.44%
    Draw 24.79%
Charlotte FCDrawChicago Fire
1-0 @ 10.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.41% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.16% (0.052 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.02% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.36% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.01% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.74% (0.027 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 47.76%
1-1 @ 11.75% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.37% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.79%
0-1 @ 7.34% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-2 @ 6.77% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.23% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.6% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.63% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 27.44%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Inter Miami 1-1 Charlotte FC
Sunday, September 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 4-0 New England
Saturday, September 21 at 9pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 2-0 Charlotte FC
Thursday, September 19 at 1.15am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 2-1 Charlotte FC
Sunday, September 15 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 0-1 Atlanta
Sunday, September 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Charlotte FC 1-1 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, August 25 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-1 Toronto
Sunday, September 29 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 2-0 Chicago Fire
Sunday, September 22 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 1-0 Chicago Fire
Thursday, September 19 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 2-1 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, September 15 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-2 DC United
Sunday, September 8 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-4 Inter Miami
Sunday, September 1 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer


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