SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 27.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 0-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlotte FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Charlotte FC | Draw | Chicago Fire |
47.77% ( 0.3) | 24.79% ( -0.05) | 27.44% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 54.62% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.94% ( 0.07) | 48.06% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.78% ( 0.07) | 70.22% ( -0.07) |
| Charlotte FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.83% ( 0.16) | 20.17% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.55% ( 0.25) | 52.45% ( -0.25) |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.42% ( -0.14) | 31.58% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.02% ( -0.16) | 67.98% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Charlotte FC | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 1-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.81% Total : 47.76% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.79% | 0-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.78% Total : 27.44% |
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