SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 66.57%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 14.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.81%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 1-2 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Orlando City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Orlando City.
| Result | ||
| Orlando City | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
66.57% ( -0.16) | 18.86% ( 0.09) | 14.57% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 54.37% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.35% ( -0.25) | 38.66% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.04% ( -0.27) | 60.96% ( 0.26) |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.23% ( -0.11) | 10.77% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.23% ( -0.25) | 34.77% ( 0.25) |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.93% ( -0.06) | 39.07% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.21% ( -0.05) | 75.79% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Orlando City | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
| 2-0 @ 10.44% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 4.06% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.41% Total : 66.56% | 1-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 18.86% | 1-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.3% ( 0)Other @ 1.88% Total : 14.57% |
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