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Major League Soccer
Oct 3, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Orlando City Stadium
PU

Orlando City
2 - 1
Philadelphia

Torres (57'), McGuire (64')
Schlegel (19'), Torres (69'), McGuire (90+5'), Araujo (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sullivan (72')
Gazdag (68'), Wagner (74'), Uhre (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dallas 1-3 Orlando City
Sunday, September 29 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 1-1 Atlanta
Sunday, September 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Orlando City 2-1 Philadelphia Union

Although Philadelphia have secured six points from their last three road matches, facing an in-form Orlando could scupper the playoff-chasing side's prospects. While their goalscoring proficiency away from home could see them score for the eighth road match in succession, the home side will back themselves to notch a fourth consecutive victory at Euphoria Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 66.57%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 14.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.81%), while for a Philadelphia Union win it was 1-2 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Orlando City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Orlando City.

Result
Orlando CityDrawPhiladelphia Union
66.57% (-0.161 -0.16) 18.86% (0.087 0.09) 14.57% (0.072000000000001 0.07)
Both teams to score 54.37% (-0.12 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.35% (-0.251 -0.25)38.66% (0.251 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.04% (-0.266 -0.27)60.96% (0.264 0.26)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.23% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)10.77% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.23% (-0.249 -0.25)34.77% (0.248 0.25)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.93% (-0.058 -0.06)39.07% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.21% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)75.79% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 66.56%
    Philadelphia Union 14.57%
    Draw 18.86%
Orlando CityDrawPhiladelphia Union
2-0 @ 10.44% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.38% (0.068 0.07)
3-0 @ 7.76% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.29% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 4.32% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
4-1 @ 4.06% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.43% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.93% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.91% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.81% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 4.41%
Total : 66.56%
1-1 @ 8.81% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.21% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 18.86%
1-2 @ 4.14% (0.017 0.02)
0-1 @ 3.96% (0.041 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.86% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.3% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 14.57%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Dallas 1-3 Orlando City
Sunday, September 29 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 4-3 Orlando City
Sunday, September 22 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 2-0 Charlotte FC
Thursday, September 19 at 1.15am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 3-0 New England
Sunday, September 15 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 3-0 Nashville
Sunday, September 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 3-0 Orlando City
Sunday, August 25 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 1-1 Atlanta
Sunday, September 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 4-0 DC United
Sunday, September 22 at 11.15pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 1-5 Philadelphia
Thursday, September 19 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 3-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, September 15 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 0-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, September 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 0-1 Columbus Crew
Thursday, August 29 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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