Although Charlotte FC have shown signs of improvement in recent weeks, Orlando City have collected 14 more points so far this season and should have enough quality to take all three points.
A victory against St. Louis City last time out was a real statement, and Pareja's side will now be looking to follow that up with a win away from home.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
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