Portsmouth will carry some momentum into Tuesday's trip to the Kassam Stadium, and we think that they will extend their lead at the top of the table by edging out an Oxford side that has lost four of their last five competitive matches.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
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