Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 51.38%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 24.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0.01) 
