Oxford are more than capable of making it three wins in this season's competition against a Coventry side that are unlikely to be at full-strength. The hosts are in strong form at the moment, though, and we are backing them to secure their spot in the fourth round of the FA Cup.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.
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