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League One | Gameweek 31
Feb 3, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
RL

Oxford Utd
1 - 1
Reading

Harris (32')
Goodrham (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Brown (76' og.)
Craig (24'), Yiadom (63'), Azeez (71')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Oxford United 0-1 Reading

Oxford United will be the favourites walking into this weekend due to the league positions of each club, but recent form tells a different story. Reading have been grinding out results against some of League One's strongest teams lately, and Saturday could provide another upset. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 46.51%. A win for Reading had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawReading
46.51% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14) 23.96% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 29.53% (0.113 0.11)
Both teams to score 58.92% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.93% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)43.07% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.53% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)65.47% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.3% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)18.7% (0.065000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.94% (-0.11 -0.11)50.06% (0.108 0.11)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.47% (0.064000000000007 0.06)27.52% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.96% (0.082000000000001 0.08)63.03% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 46.51%
    Reading 29.53%
    Draw 23.96%
Oxford UnitedDrawReading
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.63% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.23% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.22% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.04% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.36% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.19% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.69% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 46.51%
1-1 @ 11.13% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.02% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-0 @ 5.15% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.45% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.96%
1-2 @ 7.18% (0.019 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.64% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.28% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.09% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.59% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.84% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 29.53%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-2 Portsmouth
Tuesday, January 30 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 3-1 Oxford Utd
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-1 Barnsley
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Carlisle 1-3 Oxford Utd
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-0 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, January 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Coventry 6-2 Oxford Utd
Saturday, January 6 at 12.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Reading 1-1 Leyton Orient
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 1-0 Derby
Tuesday, January 23 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Wigan 1-0 Reading
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 0-0 Port Vale
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Brighton U21s 0-0 Reading (3-2 pen.)
Tuesday, January 9 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Reading 3-2 Exeter
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League One


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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