SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 40.34%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Reading |
33.94% ( 0.19) | 25.72% ( 0) | 40.34% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 54.85% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.77% ( 0.04) | 49.23% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.71% ( 0.04) | 71.29% ( -0.04) |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.29% ( 0.14) | 27.72% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.72% ( 0.17) | 63.28% ( -0.17) |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.89% ( -0.07) | 24.12% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.58% ( -0.11) | 58.42% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Reading |
| 1-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.88% Total : 33.95% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.71% | 0-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.68% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.11% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 1.9% Total : 40.34% |
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