Although Oxford experienced a disappointing result on Tuesday, we think that they will bounce back to claim all three points in Friday's clash against a Stevenage side who could be downbeat following a run of poor form and Evans's recent departure. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Stevenage
43.98%	24.66%	31.36% ( 0)

Both teams to score 57.52%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.64%

45.36% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.31%

67.69% (

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.29%

20.71% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.69%

53.31% (

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.54% (

27.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.05%

62.95% (

Score Analysis

Oxford United 43.98%

Stevenage 31.36%

Draw 24.66%

Oxford United	Draw	Stevenage
2-1 @ 9.11% 1-0 @ 8.95% 2-0 @ 7.05% 3-1 @ 4.78% 3-0 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 3.09% 4-1 @ 1.88% 4-0 @ 1.46% 4-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.74% Total : 43.98%	1-1 @ 11.57% 2-2 @ 5.89% 0-0 @ 5.69% 3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.66%	1-2 @ 7.48% 0-1 @ 7.35% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.75% 1-3 @ 3.22% 2-3 @ 2.54% 0-3 @ 2.05% 1-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.93% Total : 31.36%