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Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Feb 1, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Hidalgo

Pachuca
4 - 3
Atlas

Rondon (16', 25'), Bautista (45+5'), Lopez (90+2')
Idrissi (45+3'), Sanchez (90+5')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Zaldivar (6'), Aguirre (9'), Lozano (59')
Rocha (26'), Solari (34'), Lozano (45+5'), Aguirre (85'), Bass (90+1'), Santamaria (90+5')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Pachuca and Atlas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pumas 3-1 Pachuca
Sunday, January 28 at 11.15pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Atlas 2-1 Juarez
Monday, January 29 at 1am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 47.96%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Atlas had a probability of 26.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for an Atlas win it was 0-1 (8.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.

Result
PachucaDrawAtlas
47.96% (0.134 0.13) 26.04% (0.286 0.29) 26.01% (-0.414 -0.41)
Both teams to score 49.64% (-1.189 -1.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.97% (-1.385 -1.39)54.03% (1.391 1.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.54% (-1.174 -1.17)75.46% (1.179 1.18)
Pachuca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.46% (-0.52000000000001 -0.52)22.54% (0.527 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.88% (-0.784 -0.78)56.12% (0.79 0.79)
Atlas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.08% (-1.094 -1.09)35.92% (1.1 1.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.3% (-1.138 -1.14)72.7% (1.144 1.14)
Score Analysis
    Pachuca 47.96%
    Atlas 26.01%
    Draw 26.04%
PachucaDrawAtlas
1-0 @ 12.06% (0.46 0.46)
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-0 @ 8.99% (0.207 0.21)
3-1 @ 4.57% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-0 @ 4.46% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.125 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.66% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 47.96%
1-1 @ 12.35% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 8.1% (0.431 0.43)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.176 -0.18)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.04%
0-1 @ 8.29% (0.203 0.2)
1-2 @ 6.32% (-0.133 -0.13)
0-2 @ 4.24% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.16% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.45% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 26.01%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Pumas 3-1 Pachuca
Sunday, January 28 at 11.15pm in Liga MX
Last Game: River Plate 1-0 Pachuca
Saturday, January 20 at 9.45pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Cruz Azul 0-1 Pachuca
Sunday, January 14 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 2-3 Pachuca
Saturday, November 11 at 3.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pachuca 0-2 Monterrey
Sunday, November 5 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atlas 0-2 Pachuca
Thursday, November 2 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atlas 2-1 Juarez
Monday, January 29 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atlas 0-0 Tijuana
Sunday, January 21 at 3.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 2-1 Atlas
Monday, January 15 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atlas 0-0 Necaxa
Saturday, November 11 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pumas 3-0 Atlas
Sunday, November 5 at 6pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Atlas 0-2 Pachuca
Thursday, November 2 at 1am in Liga MX


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