SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 60.18%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Pachuca had a probability of 18.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 1-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Pachuca win it was 1-2 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Pachuca |
60.18% ( -0.82) | 20.85% ( -0.04) | 18.97% ( 0.86) |
| Both teams to score 57.15% ( 1.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.33% ( 1.55) | 39.67% ( -1.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.97% ( 1.59) | 62.02% ( -1.59) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.19% ( 0.25) | 12.81% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.87% ( 0.51) | 39.13% ( -0.51) |
| Pachuca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.54% ( 1.84) | 34.46% ( -1.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.83% ( 1.91) | 71.17% ( -1.91) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Pachuca |
| 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.32% ( -0.5)1-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.58)3-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.28)3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.2)4-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.12)5-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.63% Total : 60.18% | 1-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.25)0-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.33)3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.85% | 1-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.19) 0-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.16)Other @ 2.91% Total : 18.97% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
