Liga MX | Gameweek 1
Jan 15, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Necaxa and Atlas.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 36.69%. A win for Atlas had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.72%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Atlas win was 0-1 (11.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Necaxa would win this match.
| Result |
| Necaxa | Draw | Atlas |
36.69% ( 0.14) | 28.46% ( 0.01) | 34.86% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 46.42% ( -0.03) |
| 40.07% ( -0.03) | 59.93% ( 0.03) |
| 19.81% ( -0.02) | 80.19% ( 0.02) |
| 68.72% ( 0.07) | 31.28% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.37% ( 0.08) | 67.63% ( -0.08) |
| 67.55% ( -0.11) | 32.45% ( 0.11) |
