SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for Pachuca had a probability of 36.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest Pachuca win was 1-0 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pachuca | Draw | Monterrey |
36.6% ( 0.67) | 25.44% ( 0.2) | 37.96% ( -0.87) |
| Both teams to score 56.16% ( -0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.29% ( -0.85) | 47.7% ( 0.85) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.1% ( -0.79) | 69.9% ( 0.79) |
| Pachuca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.57% ( -0.02) | 25.43% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.75% ( -0.02) | 60.25% ( 0.02) |
| Monterrey Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.32% ( -0.84) | 24.68% ( 0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.78% ( -1.2) | 59.21% ( 1.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pachuca | Draw | Monterrey |
| 1-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.61% Total : 36.6% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.41% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.16)0-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 1% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.83% Total : 37.96% |
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