SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 59.33%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Herediano had a probability of 19.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.87%) and 1-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Herediano win it was 1-2 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Pachuca in this match.
| Result | ||
| Pachuca | Draw | Herediano |
59.33% ( 0.04) | 20.85% ( -0.01) | 19.82% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 58.7% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.65% ( 0.04) | 38.35% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.37% ( 0.04) | 60.63% ( -0.04) |
| Pachuca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.37% ( 0.02) | 12.63% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.22% ( 0.05) | 38.78% ( -0.05) |
| Herediano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.18% ( 0) | 32.82% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.62% ( 0) | 69.38% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pachuca | Draw | Herediano |
| 2-1 @ 9.89% 2-0 @ 8.87% ( -0)1-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.12% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.8% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.96% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.46% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.31% ( 0)Other @ 3.84% Total : 59.33% | 1-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.51% 0-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.85% | 1-2 @ 5.33% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.05% 1-3 @ 1.98% ( -0)0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.32% Total : 19.82% |
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