SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 49.47%. A win for Pachuca had a probability of 26.58% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Pachuca win was 1-2 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tigres | Draw | Pachuca |
49.47% ( -0.51) | 23.95% ( 0.34) | 26.58% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 56.69% ( -0.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.01% ( -1.36) | 44.99% ( 1.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.66% ( -1.33) | 67.34% ( 1.33) |
| Tigres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.73% ( -0.71) | 18.27% ( 0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.67% ( -1.23) | 49.33% ( 1.23) |
| Pachuca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.37% ( -0.59) | 30.63% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.13% ( -0.7) | 66.88% ( 0.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tigres | Draw | Pachuca |
| 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.34)2-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.48% Total : 49.47% | 1-1 @ 11.25% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.32)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.94% | 1-2 @ 6.66% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.28)0-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.98% Total : 26.58% |
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