It has been a while since either side played in a game on such a big stage, and we expect to see a nervy affair between two teams that may want to avoid defeat more than anything.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palestino win with a probability of 42.83%. A win for Cuiaba had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palestino win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Cuiaba win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
0.13) 
-0.01) 
