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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 5, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna

Palestino
0 - 4
Bolivar


Roman (24'), Rojas (33'), Cornejo (36'), Carrasco (45+2'), Zuniga (61')
Roman (45+2')
FT(HT: 0-2)
da Costa (27' pen., 34'), Savio (63'), Vaca (83')
Orihuela (58')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Palestino and Bolivar.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Palestino 1-3 Nacional (3-1 pen.)
Wednesday, March 13 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
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Last Game: Internacional 2-0 Bolivar
Tuesday, August 29 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palestino win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Bolivar had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palestino win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Bolivar win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
PalestinoDrawBolivar
42.39% (-1.167 -1.17) 24.1% (0.106 0.11) 33.51% (1.06 1.06)
Both teams to score 60.38% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.01% (-0.15199999999999 -0.15)41.99% (0.15 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.6% (-0.153 -0.15)64.39% (0.15300000000001 0.15)
Palestino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.98% (-0.57300000000001 -0.57)20.02% (0.573 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.78% (-0.931 -0.93)52.22% (0.929 0.93)
Bolivar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.49% (0.55200000000001 0.55)24.51% (-0.552 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.03% (0.768 0.77)58.97% (-0.771 -0.77)
Score Analysis
    Palestino 42.39%
    Bolivar 33.51%
    Draw 24.09%
PalestinoDrawBolivar
2-1 @ 8.93% (-0.117 -0.12)
1-0 @ 7.89% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-0 @ 6.35% (-0.187 -0.19)
3-1 @ 4.79% (-0.15 -0.15)
3-0 @ 3.4% (-0.163 -0.16)
3-2 @ 3.37% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.93% (-0.096 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.37% (-0.091 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.35% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 42.39%
1-1 @ 11.09% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.28% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.91% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.09%
1-2 @ 7.8% (0.161 0.16)
0-1 @ 6.9% (0.155 0.15)
0-2 @ 4.85% (0.184 0.18)
1-3 @ 3.66% (0.132 0.13)
2-3 @ 2.94% (0.055 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.27% (0.121 0.12)
1-4 @ 1.29% (0.066 0.07)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 33.51%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Palestino 1-3 Nacional (3-1 pen.)
Wednesday, March 13 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Nacional 0-2 Palestino
Wednesday, March 6 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Palestino 2-1 Portuguesa
Tuesday, February 27 at 10pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Portuguesa 1-2 Palestino
Tuesday, February 20 at 10pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Palestino 1-2 Fortaleza
Tuesday, June 27 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: San Lorenzo 0-0 Palestino
Friday, June 9 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Internacional 2-0 Bolivar
Tuesday, August 29 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Bolivar 0-1 Internacional
Tuesday, August 22 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Athletico PR 2-1 Bolivar (4-5 pen.)
Wednesday, August 9 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Bolivar 3-1 Athletico PR
Wednesday, August 2 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Palmeiras 4-0 Bolivar
Friday, June 30 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Bolivar 2-0 Cerro Porteno
Wednesday, June 7 at 3am in Copa Libertadores


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