Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 57.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 20.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for an Atletico Goianiense win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Palmeiras in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Palmeiras.
Result | ||
Palmeiras | Draw | Atletico Goianiense |
57.38% ( -0.65) | 22.41% ( 0.08) | 20.21% ( 0.57) |
Both teams to score 53.96% ( 0.66) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.08% ( 0.42) | 44.92% ( -0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.73% ( 0.41) | 67.27% ( -0.4) |
Palmeiras Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.6% ( -0.07) | 15.4% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.78% ( -0.13) | 44.22% ( 0.13) |
Atletico Goianiense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.78% ( 0.83) | 36.22% ( -0.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27% ( 0.83) | 73% ( -0.83) |
Score Analysis |
Palmeiras | Draw | Atletico Goianiense |
1-0 @ 10.43% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.76% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.51% Total : 57.37% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.4% | 0-1 @ 5.67% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.79% Total : 20.21% |
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