SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 65.69%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 14.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Palmeiras | Draw | Gremio |
65.69% ( 3.63) | 19.62% ( -0.65) | 14.69% ( -2.98) |
| Both teams to score 51.99% ( -4.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.08% ( -2.81) | 41.92% ( 2.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.67% ( -2.88) | 64.32% ( 2.88) |
| Palmeiras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.06% ( 0.16) | 11.94% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.68% ( 0.34) | 37.32% ( -0.34) |
| Gremio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.04% ( -5.43) | 40.95% ( 5.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.48% ( -5.22) | 77.51% ( 5.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Palmeiras | Draw | Gremio |
| 2-0 @ 11.04% ( 1.45) 1-0 @ 10.39% ( 1.31)2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 7.82% ( 1.07)3-1 @ 6.98% 4-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.59)4-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.5)5-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.26)4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.25)5-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.6% Total : 65.68% | 1-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.59)2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.73)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.32)Other @ 0.12% Total : 19.62% | 0-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.72)0-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.35)2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.46)1-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.45)Other @ 1.7% Total : 14.69% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
