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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 12, 2024 at 1am UK
Allianz Parque
L(

Palmeiras
3 - 1
Liverpool

Moreno (45+5'), Manuel Lopez (58'), Willian (66')
Manuel Lopez (21'), Moreno (31')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rosso (3')
Samudio (14'), Garcia (45'), Cayetano (45+1'), Ocampo (45+6'), Rodriguez Elduayen (72')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Palmeiras and Liverpool.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: San Lorenzo 1-1 Palmeiras
Thursday, April 4 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Fenix 1-3 Liverpool
Sunday, April 7 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 76.39%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Liverpool had a probability of 7.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.14%) and 3-0 (11.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.47%), while for a Liverpool win it was 0-1 (3.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
PalmeirasDrawLiverpool
76.39% (0.264 0.26) 16.02% (-0.104 -0.1) 7.58% (-0.161 -0.16)
Both teams to score 38.97% (-0.432 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.41% (-0.125 -0.13)45.59% (0.124 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.08% (-0.121 -0.12)67.91% (0.119 0.12)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.86% (0.033000000000001 0.03)10.14% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.66% (0.079000000000008 0.08)33.34% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.36% (-0.498 -0.5)56.64% (0.497 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.16% (-0.284 -0.28)88.83% (0.28400000000001 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Palmeiras 76.38%
    Liverpool 7.58%
    Draw 16.02%
PalmeirasDrawLiverpool
2-0 @ 15.04% (0.13 0.13)
1-0 @ 13.14% (0.09 0.09)
3-0 @ 11.47% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 8.55% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-0 @ 6.57% (0.075 0.08)
3-1 @ 6.52% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.73% (-0.015 -0.02)
5-0 @ 3.01% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.86% (-0.039 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.71% (-0.004 -0)
6-0 @ 1.15% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 76.38%
1-1 @ 7.47% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.74% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 2.43% (-0.055 -0.06)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 16.02%
0-1 @ 3.26% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-2 @ 2.12% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-2 @ 0.93% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 7.58%

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Form Guide
Last Game: San Lorenzo 1-1 Palmeiras
Thursday, April 4 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Cruzeiro 1-1 Palmeiras
Thursday, December 7 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 1-0 Fluminense
Sunday, December 3 at 7pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 4-0 America Mineiro
Thursday, November 30 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 2-2 Palmeiras
Sunday, November 26 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 3-0 Internacional
Sunday, November 12 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fenix 1-3 Liverpool
Sunday, April 7 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 1-1 Independiente
Friday, April 5 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Liverpool 1-1 River Plate
Saturday, March 30 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Boston River 1-1 Liverpool
Friday, March 15 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 1-2 Danubio
Sunday, March 10 at 1pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 1-2 Maldonado
Sunday, March 3 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division


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