SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 76.39%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Liverpool had a probability of 7.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.14%) and 3-0 (11.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.47%), while for a Liverpool win it was 0-1 (3.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Palmeiras | Draw | Liverpool |
76.39% ( 0.26) | 16.02% ( -0.1) | 7.58% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 38.97% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.41% ( -0.13) | 45.59% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.08% ( -0.12) | 67.91% ( 0.12) |
| Palmeiras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.86% ( 0.03) | 10.14% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.66% ( 0.08) | 33.34% ( -0.08) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 43.36% ( -0.5) | 56.64% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.16% ( -0.28) | 88.83% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Palmeiras | Draw | Liverpool |
| 2-0 @ 15.04% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 13.14% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 11.47% ( 0.11)2-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 6.52% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.71% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.58% Total : 76.38% | 1-1 @ 7.47% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.38% Total : 16.02% | 0-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.27% Total : 7.58% |
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