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Brasileiro | Gameweek 37
Dec 3, 2023 at 7pm UK
Allianz Parque
F

Palmeiras
1 - 0
Fluminense

Lopes (30')
Gomez (18')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Lima (32'), Lele (75')
Justen (55')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Palmeiras and Fluminense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Palmeiras 4-0 America Mineiro
Thursday, November 30 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Santos 0-3 Fluminense
Wednesday, November 29 at 10pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 69.07%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 12.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.78%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
PalmeirasDrawFluminense
69.07% (-1.365 -1.37) 18.49% (0.373 0.37) 12.43% (0.986 0.99)
Both teams to score 49.43% (1.924 1.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.96% (0.867 0.87)42.03% (-0.873 -0.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.56% (0.866 0.87)64.44% (-0.872 -0.87)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.92% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)11.07% (0.113 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.56% (-0.255 -0.25)35.43% (0.249 0.25)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.58% (2.232 2.23)44.41% (-2.238 -2.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.54% (1.757 1.76)80.46% (-1.762 -1.76)
Score Analysis
    Palmeiras 69.05%
    Fluminense 12.43%
    Draw 18.49%
PalmeirasDrawFluminense
2-0 @ 11.9% (-0.59 -0.59)
1-0 @ 10.81% (-0.49 -0.49)
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.137 0.14)
3-0 @ 8.74% (-0.474 -0.47)
3-1 @ 7.09% (0.067 0.07)
4-0 @ 4.81% (-0.285 -0.28)
4-1 @ 3.9% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.88% (0.2 0.2)
5-0 @ 2.12% (-0.136 -0.14)
5-1 @ 1.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.58% (0.103 0.1)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 69.05%
1-1 @ 8.78% (0.165 0.16)
0-0 @ 4.92% (-0.195 -0.2)
2-2 @ 3.92% (0.289 0.29)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 18.49%
0-1 @ 3.99% (0.093 0.09)
1-2 @ 3.56% (0.278 0.28)
0-2 @ 1.62% (0.133 0.13)
2-3 @ 1.06% (0.138 0.14)
1-3 @ 0.96% (0.129 0.13)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 12.43%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Palmeiras 4-0 America Mineiro
Thursday, November 30 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 2-2 Palmeiras
Sunday, November 26 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 3-0 Internacional
Sunday, November 12 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 3-0 Palmeiras
Thursday, November 9 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 1-0 Athletico PR
Sunday, November 5 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 3-4 Palmeiras
Thursday, November 2 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Santos 0-3 Fluminense
Wednesday, November 29 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 2-1 Coritiba
Sunday, November 26 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 1-0 Sao Paulo
Thursday, November 23 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 1-1 Fluminense
Saturday, November 11 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Internacional 0-0 Fluminense
Wednesday, November 8 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Boca Juniors 1-2 Fluminense
Saturday, November 4 at 8pm in Copa Libertadores


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