Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 37.94%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Fortaleza	Draw	Palmeiras
37.94% ( 0.94)	27.86% ( 0.34)	34.19% ( -1.28)

Both teams to score 48.09% (

-1.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.16% (

-1.38)

57.84% (

1.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.44% (

-1.1)

78.56% (

1.1)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.53% (

-0.11)

29.47% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.53% (

-0.13)

65.47% (

0.14)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.18% (

-1.52)

31.82% (

1.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.74% (

-1.78)

68.26% (

1.78)

Score Analysis

Fortaleza 37.94%

Palmeiras 34.19%

Draw 27.85%

Fortaleza	Draw	Palmeiras
1-0 @ 11.45% ( 0.55) 2-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7% ( 0.32) 3-1 @ 3.26% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 37.94%	1-1 @ 13.11% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.85%	0-1 @ 10.73% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.23) 0-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.84% Total : 34.19%