Despite playing over an hour with 10 men in the first leg, Lens were able to secure a 2-1 victory to take into the away leg, and with 11 men on the pitch in Greece, we believe the visitors will secure another victory here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for Lens had a probability of 36.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Lens win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panathinaikos would win this match.
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