Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 65.57%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Lecco had a probability of 14.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.39%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Lecco win it was 0-1 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Parma would win this match.
0.12) 
-0.05) 
