SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Palermo win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Parma | Draw | Palermo |
45.46% ( 0.24) | 24.59% ( 0.21) | 29.95% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 57.02% ( -0.97) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.31% ( -1.16) | 45.68% ( 1.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.99% ( -1.11) | 68.01% ( 1.11) |
| Parma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.81% ( -0.37) | 20.19% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.5% ( -0.59) | 52.5% ( 0.59) |
| Palermo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.44% ( -0.88) | 28.56% ( 0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.66% ( -1.12) | 64.34% ( 1.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Parma | Draw | Palermo |
| 2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.23% ( 0.35)2-0 @ 7.38% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.87% Total : 45.46% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.13)0-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.28)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.59% | 1-2 @ 7.25% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 4.53% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.66% Total : 29.95% |
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