SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Palermo win was 1-0 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Palermo | Draw | Parma |
32.79% ( -0.64) | 26.63% ( -0.09) | 40.57% ( 0.74) |
| Both teams to score 51.56% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.68% ( 0.23) | 53.32% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.13% ( 0.19) | 74.86% ( -0.2) |
| Palermo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.53% ( -0.31) | 30.47% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.32% ( -0.37) | 66.68% ( 0.37) |
| Parma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.15% ( 0.5) | 25.84% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.18% ( 0.67) | 60.81% ( -0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Palermo | Draw | Parma |
| 1-0 @ 9.36% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.15% Total : 32.79% | 1-1 @ 12.66% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.63% | 0-1 @ 10.65% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.57% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 7.21% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 3.86% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.33% Total : 40.57% |
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