SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Palermo win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oxford United | Draw | Palermo |
41.68% ( 0.55) | 25.98% ( -0.22) | 32.33% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 53.49% ( 0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.23% ( 0.85) | 50.77% ( -0.85) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.34% ( 0.74) | 72.67% ( -0.74) |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.88% ( 0.66) | 24.12% ( -0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.58% ( 0.93) | 58.42% ( -0.92) |
| Palermo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.5% ( 0.21) | 29.5% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.49% ( 0.26) | 65.52% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford United | Draw | Palermo |
| 1-0 @ 10.12% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 0.9% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.87% Total : 41.68% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 7.12% ( -0.25)2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.98% | 0-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 7.54% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.46% Total : 32.33% |
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