Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 54.38%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Palermo had a probability of 20.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Palermo win it was 0-1 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Parma would win this match.
-0.93) 
0.26) 
