Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pau win with a probability of 37.56%. A win for Amiens had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pau win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Amiens win was 0-1 (10.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pau in this match.
1.67) 
-0.18) 
