Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 57.08%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Pau had a probability of 18.54%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Pau win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
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