Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amiens win with a probability of 48.54%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Pau had a probability of 23.57%.
The most likely scoreline for an Amiens win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Pau win it was 0-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Amiens in this match.