Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 46.87%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Pau had a probability of 25.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Pau win it was 0-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guingamp would win this match.
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