AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 24, 2023 at 5pm UK
Azadi Stadium
Sadeghi (44', 71')
Rafiei (45'), Gvelesiani (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Novoselec (57')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Persepolis and Istiqlol Dushanbe.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Persepolis win with a probability of 44.26%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Istiqlol Dushanbe had a probability of 27.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Persepolis win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Istiqlol Dushanbe win it was 0-1 (9.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Persepolis would win this match.
| Result |
| Persepolis | Draw | Istiqlol Dushanbe |
44.26% ( 0.04) | 28.02% ( 0.01) | 27.71% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 45.3% ( -0.08) |
| 39.79% ( -0.08) | 60.21% ( 0.08) |
| 19.6% ( -0.06) | 80.39% ( 0.06) |
| 72.91% ( -0.02) | 27.08% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.54% ( -0.02) | 62.46% ( 0.02) |
| 62.13% ( -0.09) | 37.87% ( 0.09) |
