SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 68.21%. A win for Crystal Palace Under-21s had a probability of 16.03% and a draw had a probability of 15.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.72%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Crystal Palace Under-21s win was 1-2 (3.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterborough United | Draw | Crystal Palace Under-21s |
68.21% ( 0.04) | 15.76% ( -0.01) | 16.03% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 71.25% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 80.28% ( -0.01) | 19.72% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 62.3% ( -0.01) | 37.69% ( 0.02) |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.49% ( 0) | 5.51% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.51% ( 0.01) | 21.48% ( -0.01) |
| Crystal Palace Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.41% ( -0.04) | 24.59% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.91% ( -0.05) | 59.09% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterborough United | Draw | Crystal Palace Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.99% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.72% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 5.59% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 5.41% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 3.93% ( 0)4-2 @ 3.92% ( -0)5-1 @ 3.24% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.31% ( 0)5-2 @ 2.27% 4-3 @ 1.83% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.57% ( 0)6-0 @ 1.12% ( 0)6-2 @ 1.1% 5-3 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 3.98% Total : 68.21% | 2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0) 1-1 @ 5.51% 3-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 1.36% ( 0)Other @ 0.76% Total : 15.76% | 1-2 @ 3.87% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0)0-1 @ 1.9% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.81% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.33% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 3.59% Total : 16.03% |
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