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League One | Gameweek 38
Mar 13, 2024 at 8pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
S

Peterborough
3 - 1
Stevenage

Burrows (44' pen.), Katongo (64'), Poku (77')
Kyprianou (33')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Freeman (85')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 0-0 Fleetwood
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One

We said: Peterborough United 2-1 Stevenage

Peterborough are enjoying a scintillating run of form, and while they will face a tricky test on Wednesday, we think that they will do enough to claim a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 62.16%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 17.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 1-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Stevenage win it was 1-2 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawStevenage
62.16% (-1.08 -1.08) 20.44% (0.485 0.48) 17.4% (0.6 0.6)
Both teams to score 55.44% (-0.428 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.55% (-1.174 -1.17)40.45% (1.176 1.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.17% (-1.218 -1.22)62.83% (1.221 1.22)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.51% (-0.655 -0.66)12.49% (0.66 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.54% (-1.385 -1.39)38.46% (1.389 1.39)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.35% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)36.65% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.56% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)73.43% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 62.16%
    Stevenage 17.4%
    Draw 20.44%
Peterborough UnitedDrawStevenage
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.9% (0.032 0.03)
1-0 @ 9.52% (0.271 0.27)
3-1 @ 6.9% (-0.16 -0.16)
3-0 @ 6.87% (-0.157 -0.16)
4-1 @ 3.59% (-0.179 -0.18)
4-0 @ 3.57% (-0.176 -0.18)
3-2 @ 3.46% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.8% (-0.091 -0.09)
5-1 @ 1.49% (-0.115 -0.12)
5-0 @ 1.49% (-0.114 -0.11)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 62.16%
1-1 @ 9.56% (0.268 0.27)
2-2 @ 4.99% (0.011 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.58% (0.243 0.24)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.44%
1-2 @ 4.8% (0.133 0.13)
0-1 @ 4.59% (0.243 0.24)
0-2 @ 2.31% (0.12 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.67% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.61% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 17.4%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-3 Peterborough
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 5-1 Northampton
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 2-1 Exeter
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-1 Peterborough
Saturday, February 24 at 12pm in League One
Last Game: Blackpool 0-3 Peterborough
Tuesday, February 20 at 8pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Peterborough 1-2 Blackpool
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 0-0 Fleetwood
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 0-0 Stevenage
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Cambridge
Tuesday, February 27 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Wycombe
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 1-0 Stevenage
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 2-3 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in League One


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