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EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
PU

Stevenage
1 - 0
Peterborough

Reid (90+3')
Taylor (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Taylor (2'), Knight (64')

We said: Stevenage 1-0 Peterborough United

Both teams are on an impressive run of results coming into the game and they will be confident of emerging victorious here. We are backing a narrow win for the home side in what should be a close contest over the course of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 35.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stevenage in this match.

Result
StevenageDrawPeterborough United
35.48% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03) 25.91% (0.0019999999999989 0) 38.61% (0.026999999999994 0.03)
Both teams to score 54.45% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.14% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)49.86% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.14% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)71.85% (0.01400000000001 0.01)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.91% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)27.09% (0.025000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.53% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)62.47% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.68% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)25.31% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.91% (0.010999999999996 0.01)60.09% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 35.48%
    Peterborough United 38.61%
    Draw 25.91%
StevenageDrawPeterborough United
1-0 @ 8.96% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-1 @ 8.04% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 5.85% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 3.5% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 2.55% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.14% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 35.48%
1-1 @ 12.3%
0-0 @ 6.86% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-2 @ 5.52% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.91%
0-1 @ 9.42% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 6.47% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.87% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.96% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 38.61%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Stevenage 2-1 Carlisle
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Rochdale
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 1-1 Stevenage
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Reading 1-2 Stevenage
Tuesday, August 9 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Stevenage 2-1 Stockport
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 1-2 Stevenage
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Peterborough 4-0 Lincoln
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 2-0 Sheff Weds
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Plymouth 2-0 Peterborough
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Plymouth 0-2 Peterborough
Wednesday, August 10 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Peterborough 3-0 Morecambe
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 2-3 Peterborough
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in League One


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