Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
2.03) 
-0.25) 
