SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterborough United | Draw | Stevenage |
43.28% ( -0.41) | 25.24% ( -0.01) | 31.48% ( 0.42) |
| Both teams to score 55.62% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.13% ( 0.22) | 47.86% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.95% ( 0.2) | 70.05% ( -0.2) |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.92% ( -0.09) | 22.08% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.56% ( -0.14) | 55.43% ( 0.14) |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.38% ( 0.39) | 28.62% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.58% ( 0.48) | 64.42% ( -0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterborough United | Draw | Stevenage |
| 1-0 @ 9.54% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 2.34% Total : 43.28% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.47% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.65% Total : 31.48% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
