SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Piast Gliwice win with a probability of 52.25%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 24.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Piast Gliwice win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 0-1 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Piast Gliwice | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
52.25% ( -0.47) | 23.58% ( 0.18) | 24.17% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 55.49% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.54% ( -0.49) | 45.46% ( 0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.21% ( -0.47) | 67.79% ( 0.48) |
| Piast Gliwice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.61% ( -0.35) | 17.39% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.19% ( -0.63) | 47.81% ( 0.63) |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.17% ( -0.02) | 32.83% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.6% ( -0.02) | 69.4% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Piast Gliwice | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
| 1-0 @ 9.99% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.78% Total : 52.25% | 1-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.58% | 0-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.45% Total : 24.17% |
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