Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Platense win with a probability of 44%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Tigre had a probability of 25.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Platense win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 2-1 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.76%), while for a Tigre win it was 0-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Platense would win this match.
Result | ||
Platense | Draw | Tigre |
44% ( 0.05) | 30.35% ( -0.02) | 25.65% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 38.41% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
31.87% ( 0.04) | 68.13% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
13.98% ( 0.02) | 86.02% ( -0.03) |
Platense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.87% ( 0.05) | 31.13% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.54% ( 0.05) | 67.46% ( -0.06) |
Tigre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.77% ( -0.01) | 44.23% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.69% ( -0.01) | 80.31% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Platense | Draw | Tigre |
1-0 @ 16.06% 2-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.21% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.01% Total : 43.99% | 0-0 @ 13.76% ( -0.02) 1-1 @ 13.1% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.12% ( 0) Other @ 0.35% Total : 30.33% | 0-1 @ 11.23% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.35% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.45% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 1.79% Total : 25.65% |
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